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@kahawatungu Sun, 04 Oct 2026 16:52:23

Flavio Bolsonaro's 63% Chance of Winning the Election—and What It Really Means

Brazil is voting today, and the prediction markets have a clear favorite: Flavio Bolsonaro. On Polymarket, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro sits at about 63% odds of winning. President Lula sits at about 37%. That gap looks huge. It is not a poll. Prediction markets are banned in Brazil, and they measure money [...] The post Flavio Bolsonaro's 63% Chance of Winning the Election—and What It Really Means appeared first on Kahawatungu.

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